The best time to buy flour, from 20 years of U.S. government shelf prices.
A small season
Flour is cheapest in November, but the season is small.
Over 2006–2025, November ran a typical 4% below trend and August 2.4% above, and November was below trend in 18 of 18 years. Worth knowing if you buy a lot of flour or can stock up; otherwise a store sale beats the calendar.
November is the start of holiday baking, when stores put baking staples on sale.
Typical price each month compared with that year’s trend, 2006–2025. The bar is the median year; the thin line spans the middle half of years.
| Month | Typical vs trend | Middle half of years | Years |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | +0.6% | −0.9% to +1.2% | 19 |
| February | +0.6% | −0.4% to +1.2% | 19 |
| March | +0.1% | −0.9% to +2.3% | 19 |
| April | −0.6% | −1.7% to +1.6% | 18 |
| May | +1% | +0.2% to +1.9% | 18 |
| June | +1.3% | +0.3% to +2.2% | 18 |
| July | +1.6% | +0.3% to +2.9% | 18 |
| August | +2.4% | +1.3% to +2.9% | 18 |
| September | +2.1% | +0.7% to +2.4% | 18 |
| October | −0.7% | −1.7% to +0.9% | 17 |
| November | −4% | −4% to −2.4% | 18 |
| December | −3% | −5% to −2.8% | 18 |
The U.S. average price of flour (per pound) was 54¢ in October 2026. At today’s price level, the typical November price is about 52¢ and the typical August price about 55¢.
Each row is one year; the dot is the month flour was cheapest relative to that year’s trend. November was the single cheapest month in 5 of 17 years, and the month next to it in 9 more.
| Year | Cheapest month |
|---|---|
| 2024 | December |
| 2023 | December |
| 2022 | May |
| 2021 | June |
| 2018 | November |
| 2017 | December |
| 2016 | December |
| 2015 | November |
| 2014 | October |
| 2013 | March |
| 2012 | November |
| 2011 | December |
| 2010 | December |
| 2009 | November |
| 2008 | November |
| 2007 | October |
| 2006 | December |
What else is cheap in November: what’s cheap in November. Pantry: sugar (Dec), coffee (Dec), rice (Feb), pasta (Oct), bread (Jan), potato chips (Feb), cookies (Mar). All 39 foods: the grocery price calendar.
November. Over 2006–2025 the U.S. average price of flour in November was typically 4% below that year's trend, and below it in 18 of 18 years. August is the dearest month (2.4% above).
August, typically 2.4% above the year's trend price.
The U.S. average was 54¢ a pound in October 2026 (BLS Average Price Data).
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Average Price Data (U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted), the shelf prices BLS collects every month for the Consumer Price Index, through October 2026. Seasonal pattern and every number on this page computed by Online List Maker; how.